Curriculum
Mathematics
Strand Progression Map
See how mathematical ideas build year by year — from Foundation through to Year 10. Choose a strand to explore its full journey across the curriculum.
11year levels
6strands
F – 10Australian Curriculum
◎
Probability
Chance, experiments & compound events
PrimaryFoundation — Year 6
F
Foundation
Not in this strand
Y1
Year 1
Not in this strand
Y2
Year 2
Not in this strand
Y3
Year 3
- Identify and describe outcomes and the likelihood of everyday events
- Conduct repeated chance experiments and discuss variation in results
Y4
Year 4
- Order events or outcomes in terms of likelihood
- Identify whether events are independent or dependent
- Conduct repeated chance experiments and describe variation in results
Y5
Year 5
- List possible outcomes of chance experiments
- Estimate likelihoods; compare events with and without equally likely outcomes
- Conduct repeated chance experiments
Y6
Year 6
- Assign probabilities using common fractions, decimals and percentages
- Conduct simulations using digital tools to generate and record outcomes
- Compare observed frequencies to expected frequencies
F
Foundation
Not in this strand
Y1
Year 1
Not in this strand
Y2
Year 2
Not in this strand
Y3
Year 3
- Identify and describe outcomes and the likelihood of everyday events
- Conduct repeated chance experiments and discuss variation in results
Y4
Year 4
- Order events or outcomes in terms of likelihood
- Identify whether events are independent or dependent
- Conduct repeated chance experiments and describe variation in results
Y5
Year 5
- List possible outcomes of chance experiments
- Estimate likelihoods; compare events with and without equally likely outcomes
- Conduct repeated chance experiments
Y6
Year 6
- Assign probabilities using common fractions, decimals and percentages
- Conduct simulations using digital tools to generate and record outcomes
- Compare observed frequencies to expected frequencies
F
Foundation
Not in this strand
Y1
Year 1
Not in this strand
Y2
Year 2
Not in this strand
Y3
Year 3
- Identify and describe outcomes and the likelihood of everyday events
- Conduct repeated chance experiments and discuss variation in results
Y4
Year 4
- Order events or outcomes in terms of likelihood
- Identify whether events are independent or dependent
- Conduct repeated chance experiments and describe variation in results
Y5
Year 5
- List possible outcomes of chance experiments
- Estimate likelihoods; compare events with and without equally likely outcomes
- Conduct repeated chance experiments
Y6
Year 6
- Assign probabilities using common fractions, decimals and percentages
- Conduct simulations using digital tools to generate and record outcomes
- Compare observed frequencies to expected frequencies
Secondary
SecondaryYear 7 — Year 10
Y7
Year 7
- List sample spaces for single-step experiments
- Assign probabilities to outcomes and predict relative frequencies
- Conduct experiments and simulations; explain differences between predicted and observed results
Y8
Year 8
- Represent combinations of 2 events with tables and diagrams
- Determine probabilities of compound events to solve practical problems
- Conduct experiments and simulations for compound events using digital tools
Y9
Year 9
- Determine sets of outcomes for compound events and represent them in various ways
- Assign probabilities to outcomes of compound events
- Design and conduct experiments or simulations for combined events using digital tools
Y10
Year 10
- Apply conditional probability to solve problems involving compound events
- Design and conduct simulations involving conditional probability using digital tools
Y7
Year 7
- List sample spaces for single-step experiments
- Assign probabilities to outcomes and predict relative frequencies
- Conduct experiments and simulations; explain differences between predicted and observed results
Y8
Year 8
- Represent combinations of 2 events with tables and diagrams
- Determine probabilities of compound events to solve practical problems
- Conduct experiments and simulations for compound events using digital tools
Y9
Year 9
- Determine sets of outcomes for compound events and represent them in various ways
- Assign probabilities to outcomes of compound events
- Design and conduct experiments or simulations for combined events using digital tools
Y10
Year 10
- Apply conditional probability to solve problems involving compound events
- Design and conduct simulations involving conditional probability using digital tools
Y7
Year 7
- List sample spaces for single-step experiments
- Assign probabilities to outcomes and predict relative frequencies
- Conduct experiments and simulations; explain differences between predicted and observed results
Y8
Year 8
- Represent combinations of 2 events with tables and diagrams
- Determine probabilities of compound events to solve practical problems
- Conduct experiments and simulations for compound events using digital tools
Y9
Year 9
- Determine sets of outcomes for compound events and represent them in various ways
- Assign probabilities to outcomes of compound events
- Design and conduct experiments or simulations for combined events using digital tools
Y10
Year 10
- Apply conditional probability to solve problems involving compound events
- Design and conduct simulations involving conditional probability using digital tools
How to use this map
1
Choose a strand from the tabs above to see how that topic evolves from Foundation to Year 10.
2
Each card shows 2–3 key concepts for that year. Click any card to open printable worksheets for that level.
3
Use the map to identify gaps, plan ahead, or find exactly where your child sits in the bigger picture.
Ready to practise?
Browse printable worksheets for every year level.